I like a good infographic and this one showing annual energy flows for a country is one of my favourites [see ‘Energy blending’ on May 22nd 2013]. Some governments produce them annually. The image shows the latest one for the UK [2021]. It makes interesting but perhaps depressing reading. Transportation using fossil fuels accounts for 31% (41.6/134.1 million tonnes oil equivalent) of the UK energy consumption while electricity output accounts for only 21% (28.6/134.1 million tonnes oil equivalent). This implies that if all vehicles were powered by electricity then the output of our power stations would need to increase to 70.2 million tonnes oil equivalent or between two- and three-fold (excluding conversion & transmission losses). You can perform a similar analysis for the USA [see 2021 Energy flow chart from LLNL]. Fossil-fuelled transportation accounted for 25% (24.3/97.3 Quads) and electricity output 13% (12.9/97.3 Quads) so converting all transportation to be electrically powered requires a three-fold increase in electrical output from power stations. It is more difficult to find equivalent data for Japan; however, in 2014 [see Energy flow chart from I2CNER Kyushu University] fossil-fuelled transportation accounted for 32% (3.03/9.52 EJ) and electricity output 38% (3.66/9.52 EJ) so converting all transportation to be electrically powered requires a two-fold increase in electrical output from power stations. None of the above takes account of space heating mainly via fossil fuel or that many existing power stations are fossil-fuelled and need to be replaced in order to achieve net zero carbon emissions. Hence, the required scale of construction of power stations using renewable sources, including nuclear, solar and wind, is enormous and in most countries it is barely discussed let alone planned or started; leading to the conclusion that there is little chance of achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050 as called for by the Paris agreement.
Tag Archives: nuclear energy
Predicting release rates of hydrogen from stainless steel
The influence of hydrogen on the structural integrity of nuclear power plant, where water molecules in the coolant circuit can be split by electrolysis or radiolysis to produce hydrogen, has been a concern to engineers for decades. However, plans for a hydrogen economy and commercial fusion reactors, in which plasma-facing structural components will likely be exposed to hydrogen, has accelerated interest in understanding the complex interactions of hydrogen with metals, especially in the presence of irradiation. A key step in advancing our understanding of these interactions is the measurement and prediction of the uptake and release of hydrogen by key structural materials. We have recently published a study in Scientific Reports in which we developed a method for predicting the amount hydrogen in a steel under test conditions. We used a sample of stainless steel as an electrode (cathode) in an electrolysis cell that split water molecules producing hydrogen atoms that were attracted to the steel. After loading the steel with hydrogen in the cell, we measured the rate of release of the hydrogen from the steel over two minutes by monitoring the drop in current in the cell, using a technique called potentiostatic discharge. We used our measurements to calibrate a model of hydrogen release rate, based on Fick’s second law of diffusion, which relates the rate of hydrogen motion (diffusion) to the surface area perpendicular to the motion and the concentration gradient in the direction of motion. Finally, we used our calibrated model to predict the release rate of hydrogen over 24 hours and checked our predictions using a second measurement based on the hydrogen released when the steel was melted. So, now we have a method of predicting the amount of hydrogen in a steel remaining in a sample many hours after exposure during electrolysis without destroying the test sample. This will allow us to perform better defined tests on the influence of hydrogen on the performance of stainless steel in the extreme environments of fission and fusion reactors.
Source:
Weihrauch M, Patel M, Patterson EA. Measurements and predictions of diffusible hydrogen escape and absorption in cathodically charged 316LN austenitic stainless steel. Scientific Reports. 13(1):10545, 2023.
Image:
Figure 2a from Weihrauch et al , 2023 showing electrolysis cell setup for potentiostatic discharge experiments.
Reliable predictions of non-Newtonian flows of sludge
Regular readers of this blog will be aware that I have been working for many years on validation processes for computational models of structures employed in a wide range of sectors, including aerospace engineering [see ‘The blind leading the blind’ on May 27th, 2020] and nuclear energy [see ‘Million to one’ on November 21st, 2018]. Validation is determining the extent to which predictions from a model are representative of behaviour in the real-world [see ‘Model validation’ on September 18th, 2012]. More recently, I have been working on model credibility, which is the willingness of people, besides the modeller, to use the predictions from models in decision-making [see, for example, ‘Credible predictions for regulatory decision-making’ on December 9th, 2020]. I have started to consider the complex world of predictive modelling of fluid flow and I am hoping to start a collaboration with a new colleague on the flow of sludges. Sludges are more common than you might think but we are interested in modelling the flow of waste, both wastewater (sewage) and nuclear wastes. We have a PhD studentship available sponsored jointly by the GREEN CDT and the National Nuclear Laboratory. The project is interdisciplinary in two dimensions because it will combine experiments and simulations as well as uniting ideas from solid mechanics and fluid mechanics. The integration of concepts and technologies across these boundaries brings a level of adventure to the project which will be countered by building on well-established research in solid mechanics on quantitative comparisons of measurements and predictions and by employing current numerical and experimental work on wastewater sludges. If you are interested or know someone who might want to join our research then you can find out more here.
Image: Sewage sludge disposal in Germany: Andrea Roskosch / UBA
Structural damage assessment using infrared detectors in fusion environments
About six months ago, I described the success of my research group in detecting the early stages of the development of damage in structural components using small, cheap devices based on infrared measurements [see ‘Seeing small changes is a big achievement‘ on October 26th, 2022] after it had been reported in the Proceedings of the Royal Society. The research was motivated by the needs of the aerospace industry and largely supported via the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme. We are planning to extend the research to allow our technology to be used for diagnostics in future fusion power plants. Plasma facing components in these powerplants will experience significant structural and functional degradation in service due to the extreme condition in the reactor. Our aim is to develop systems based on our infrared monitoring technology that can identify and track material degradation without the need for plant shutdown thereby enabling unplanned maintenance to be undertaken at the earliest sign of component failure. We are collaborating with the UKAEA and are looking to recruit a PhD student to work on the project supported by the GREEN CDT and Eurofusion. If you are interested or know someone who might be interested then please follow this link for more information.
Reference:
Amjad, K., Lambert, C.A., Middleton, C.A., Greene, R.J., Patterson, E.A., 2022, A thermal emissions-based real-time monitoring system for in situ detection of cracks, Proc. R. Soc. A., 478: 20210796.