Tag Archives: fossil fuel

Staying connected to reality via literature

Decorative image of a painting by Sarah EvansFor most of this year, I have not been a frequent visitor to bookshops so I am not suffering from tsundoku [see ‘Tsundoku’ on May 24th, 2017].  Instead, I have been unable to resist borrowing books from people when visiting them for weekends [see ‘Fictional planetary emergencies’ on June 4th, 2025].  This has allowed me to enjoy Open Water by Caleb Azumah Nelson, Oranges Are Not the Only Fruit by Jeanette Winterson, Fen by Daisy Johnson, and Eight Months on Ghazzah Street by Hilary Mantel.  The last one describes the experiences of the narrator living in a Middle Eastern country while her husband works as civil engineer on a lucrative employment contract.  It is a thriller but the cultural differences between life in a Middle Eastern kingdom and the West for a professional woman are shocking and perhaps should be a ‘must-read’ for anyone tempted by lucrative job offers in the Middle East.  A month or so later, I borrowed from the same bookshelf Hope and Other Dangerous Pursuits by Laila Lalami and The Optician of Lampedusa by Emma Jane Kirby.  ‘Hope’ describes a boat journey across the Straits of Gibraltar from Morocco to Spain by migrants and the back stories of the migrants that induced them to take the extraordinary risks of paying a people trafficker for the crossing in an overcrowded small boat.  The ‘Optician’ is a first person account of someone who, when cruising in their boat with a group of friends, rescued dozens of migrants from the Mediterranean Sea after their boat sank.  However, the rescue was too late for hundreds of men, women and children.  The book deals with the grief of the rescuers and their shock at the response of the Italian authorities.  In a world in which many people are becoming increasingly tribal and insular, within their own bubble [see ‘You’re all weird!’ on February 8th, 2017], it is crucial that WEIRD (Western, Educated, Industrialised, Rich, Democratic) people stay connected with the realities created by our addiction to fossil fuels and the deep inequalities of wealth – literature can help us connect, especially literature based on real-life experience.

References:

Caleb Azumah Nelson, Open Water, Penguin Books, 2022.

Daisy Johnson, Fen, Penguin Books, 2017.

Emma Jane Kirby,  The Optician of Lampedusa, 2017.

Hilary Mantel, Eight Months on Ghazzah Street, Harper Collins Publishers, 2004.

Jeanette Winterson, Oranges Are Not the Only Fruit, Penguin Books, 2025.

Laila Lalami, Hope and Other Dangerous Pursuits, Algonquin Books, New York.

Image: Painting by Sarah Evans owned by the author.

Where has the blue planet gone?

Decorative image showing 'snowball' EarthThey had moved across the galaxy at half the speed of light, covering the 17.6 light-years from their planet in the orbit of Ehseaplus to the Sol system in a couple of hundred days and now they had slowed down their inter-constellation craft to manoeuvre prior to landing on the planet Sol III.  They were looking for a blue planet but they had found two reddish planets orbiting the star, Sol adjacent to an asteroid belt.  Their expedition had been launched after an alien object had been detected and recovered as it passed about two light-years from their planet, Ehseaplus VI.  The recovered object, which at some point appeared to have had an atomic energy source, carried on its exterior surface a gold-plated disc with primitive representations of various lifeforms and a map that appeared to suggest that the object had come from a planet orbiting the star, Sol.  Although, they had not been able to detect any artificial signals from that part of the Milky Way, their mission was to make contact with the lifeforms.  However, it appeared that Sol III was no longer blue but had become a cold, dark planet like its neighbour, Sol IV.  As they orbited Sol III, their sensor systems told them that most of the planet was covered by a thick ice-sheet with a dusting of volcanic ash, which they presumed was from volcanoes that dotted its surface – they counted about fifty of them erupting as they orbited the planet.  Their sensors also informed them that the atmosphere contained some water crystals and large amounts of carbon dioxide and sulphur dioxide.  Their explorations of the galaxy had not revealed any lifeforms capable of surviving in such an atmosphere so they were beginning to think that they had had a wasted journey.  They discussed their findings with mission control and concluded that the lifeforms responsible for the representations on the gold disc must have become extinct.  A catastrophic climate change had probably led to a mass extinction though they could not deduce whether the catastrophe had occurred due to an asteroid strike or the activities of the lifeform causing the planet’s climate to reach a tipping point.  The navigation system of their craft was weaving a gently curving path through what appeared to be tens of thousands of artificial objects in orbit around Sol III.  So, they launched one of the crafts’s autonomous probes to recover some of the objects and perform some tests which revealed that a crude carbon-based system had been used to push the objects into orbit about 40,000 Sol III years ago.  Maybe the high levels of carbon dioxide they had detected in the atmosphere of Soll III originated from these carbon-based energy systems and excessive use of them had taken the planet’s climate to a tipping point?  They gave up on finding life on Sol III and set course for home.

Footnotes:

  1. I was inspired to write this short story after reading ‘The NASA Archives: from Project Mercury to the Mars rovers’ by Piers Bizony, Andrew Chiakin and Roger Launius (Taschen GmbH, 2022).
  2. The NASA space probe, Voyager 1 was launched in 1977 and is travelling through space at 10 miles per second carrying a gold-plated metal disc with messages from humanity and images of life on Earth. It will pass close to a star, AC+79 3888 in the Ursa Minor constellation in 40,272 AD.
  3. The atmosphere of Mars, the fourth planet from the Sun, is very thin, cold and composed mainly of carbon dioxide. About one-third of the surface of Mars is covered by a very thick layer of ice that is only a spade’s depth beneath the red soil that gives our neighbouring plant its reddish tint when seen from Earth.
  4. Image: NASA snowball planet from https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2018/05/04/snowball-earth-frozen-solid/

Commoditisation of civil nuclear power

Logo for BBC Inside ScienceA colleague and I published a paper last month that we hope will bring about a paradigm shift in the nuclear power industry. I was interviewed on BBC Radio 4’s Inside Science on the day following its publication – its the first time one of my scientific papers has made that big a splash in the media!  You can listen to the programme on BBC Sounds at https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m001zdwv.

In the paper we describe a blueprint for the factory-production of sealed micro-power units with a digitally-enabled, holistic assurance framework.  Currently, several designs of micro-reactors are progressing to the prototype stage with hazards contained on-site.  The integration of these approaches enables a transformation of the regulatory regime to type or series approval at the factory, similar to the aerospace industry, and supported by digital tools such as block chains to provide transparent quality assurance within the supply chain.  The transformation of the regulatory regime and the shift to ‘flow’ production in a factory would remove the financial risk from the power plant to the factory thereby enabling nuclear power to become a realistic competitor for intermittent green energy sources, such as wind and solar, both in terms of financial and ecological costs.  The output from three production lines could replace the current electricity generating capacity from fossil fuels in the UK over approximately 15 years thus making a significant contribution to achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions.  We propose a design philosophy for the micro-power units that will allow them to go unnoticed in an urban environment or even become an iconic product that signals a community’s commitment to responsible stewardship of the Earth’s resources.  Our blueprint represents a revolutionary change for the nuclear power industry that would likely lead to the commoditisation of nuclear power whereas the status quo probably leads to extinction.

The paper is published with open access (its free) at Patterson EA & Taylor RJ, 2024, The commoditisation of civil nuclear power, Royal Society Open Science, 11:240021.

Inconvenient data about electricity generation

Decorative infographicI like a good infographic and this one showing annual energy flows for a country  is one of my favourites [see ‘Energy blending’ on May 22nd 2013].  Some governments produce them annually.  The image shows the latest one for the UK [2021]. It makes interesting but perhaps depressing reading.  Transportation using fossil fuels accounts for 31% (41.6/134.1 million tonnes oil equivalent) of the UK energy consumption while electricity output accounts for only 21% (28.6/134.1 million tonnes oil equivalent).  This implies that if all vehicles were powered by electricity then the output of our power stations would need to increase to 70.2 million tonnes oil equivalent or between two- and three-fold (excluding conversion & transmission losses).  You can perform a similar analysis for the USA [see 2021 Energy flow chart from LLNL].  Fossil-fuelled transportation accounted for 25%  (24.3/97.3 Quads) and electricity output 13% (12.9/97.3 Quads) so converting all transportation to be electrically powered requires a three-fold increase in electrical output from power stations. It is more difficult to find equivalent data for Japan; however, in 2014 [see Energy flow chart from I2CNER Kyushu University] fossil-fuelled transportation accounted for 32% (3.03/9.52 EJ) and electricity output 38% (3.66/9.52 EJ) so converting all transportation to be electrically powered requires a two-fold increase in electrical output from power stations.  None of the above takes account of space heating mainly via fossil fuel or that many existing power stations are fossil-fuelled and need to be replaced in order to achieve net zero carbon emissions.  Hence, the required scale of construction of power stations using renewable sources, including nuclear, solar and wind, is enormous and in most countries it is barely discussed let alone planned or started; leading to the conclusion that there is little chance of achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050 as called for by the Paris agreement.